Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Sunday, November 27, 2016
Difference between sales & current prices( 28 Nov '16 10 am)
Hwa Tai - 289.25 ( + 50 )
MFlour - 573.10 ( + 23)
Heineken - 1,422.77
Cepco - 3,762.02
TAS - 2,723.62
BAT - 812.57
GTronic - 152.46
MTDACPI - 442.33
KKB - 251.91
DRBHcom - 444.80 ( + 60 )
Axiata - 379.86 ( + 56 )
LionInd - 378.68
CCB - 897.37
KUB - 310.55 ( +62 )
MPI - 84.77
UMW - 2,201.48
Coastal - 632.56
Tekala - 71.37
Subur - 1,798.67
Hightec - 549.70
FGV - 530.37 (bought back some 1200 @ 1.475 after exiting 3000 @ 1.957)
TOTAL = 18,710.21 (+781.37 )
MFlour - 573.10 ( + 23)
Heineken - 1,422.77
Cepco - 3,762.02
TAS - 2,723.62
BAT - 812.57
GTronic - 152.46
MTDACPI - 442.33
KKB - 251.91
DRBHcom - 444.80 ( + 60 )
Axiata - 379.86 ( + 56 )
LionInd - 378.68
CCB - 897.37
KUB - 310.55 ( +62 )
MPI - 84.77
UMW - 2,201.48
Coastal - 632.56
Tekala - 71.37
Subur - 1,798.67
Hightec - 549.70
FGV - 530.37 (bought back some 1200 @ 1.475 after exiting 3000 @ 1.957)
TOTAL = 18,710.21 (
Saturday, November 26, 2016
Friday, November 25, 2016
Difference between sales & current prices(25 Nov '16)
Hwa Tai - 239.25
MFlour - 550.10
Heineken - 1,422.77
Cepco - 3,762.02
TAS - 2,723.62
BAT - 812.57
GTronic - 152.46
MTDACPI - 442.33
KKB - 251.91
DRBHcom - 384.80
Axiata - 323.86
LionInd - 378.68
CCB - 897.37
KUB - 248.55
MPI - 84.77
UMW - 2,201.48
Coastal - 632.56
Tekala - 71.37
Subur - 1,798.67
Hightec - 549.70
TOTAL = 17,928.84
MFlour - 550.10
Heineken - 1,422.77
Cepco - 3,762.02
TAS - 2,723.62
BAT - 812.57
GTronic - 152.46
MTDACPI - 442.33
KKB - 251.91
DRBHcom - 384.80
Axiata - 323.86
LionInd - 378.68
CCB - 897.37
KUB - 248.55
MPI - 84.77
UMW - 2,201.48
Coastal - 632.56
Tekala - 71.37
Subur - 1,798.67
Hightec - 549.70
TOTAL = 17,928.84
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Supermax's Annual General Meeting - the BEST of the twenty I've attended this year in terms of F & B!
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
Saturday, November 12, 2016
Putting 2016's investment performance in perspective
Despite recent losses in wheat, corn and gold marring my 2016 record temporarily, this year has been very successful by many measures. Let me count the ways chronologically!
1. I liquidated my over 1 year long positions in WTK, KKB Engineering and BIG Industries at close to 52-week highs of $1.45, $1.83 and 68.7 c respectively on the early January spurt in shares of beneficiaries of US$ strength. They are now trading 27%, 26% and 32% LOWER than those sale prices as of November 11th and the intervening eleven months has seen the profitable redeployment of that capital into better assets(see 2. below).
2. After holding 20k worth of shares in Cepco for over 2 years, I finally got my chance to exit my investment profitably in late January as the shares soared on a hugely profitable quarterly report, and I exited at prices ranging from $1.96 to as high as $2.44, redeploying that capital (together with 1. above) into SGX stocks, many of which outperformed well, including S i2i, OKP and the big kahuna : Sunright! I even re-entered less than a third of my original position in Cepco when that company disappointed in the subsequent quarterly report, obtaining under $1.58 a share in May when my original cost was just under $1.80!
I also exited my last holdings in TAS Offshore in February at 68.5c, on the very day the stock was beginning to tank in earnest, after buying at a 57.5c average in 2015. They now hover at around 30c!
3. The spectacular fall of Globetronics Technology from an all-time high of $6.96 in the opening days of the year must have curdled the blood of many a trend-following fund manager holding boatloads of the stock after a 4-year rise from around $1.00, but I capitalised on the meltdown in early May to eventually make SIX rounds of profit on the stock even as it zig-zagged down to a $2.75 low in September and collecting a dividend in the process. My cost was an averaged $2.99 and I hold a tenth of my original position, which now sits on a 20+% paper gain.
4. I earned FIVE rounds on descending tobacco stock British American Tobacco(M), earning well over a thousand in capital gains and dividends, holding a maximum of 210 shares for all the dividends paid throughout the year, but releasing 200 of these at prices of $51.44 and $50.36 respectively, and only increasing my holding to 44 shares for the final dividend of the year, leaving room for me to average down my cost even as the shares now tumble to $45!
5. My 3-year holding in blue-chip sin stock Heineken(M), formerly Guinness Anchor, which saw a paper loss that peaked at over $4,000 at their low of $12 in January 2015, was liquidated by 7/8ths at prices ranging from 17.68 to 18.07, reaping a capital gain of 4.4%, even though the dividends were plentiful in the interim.
6. Besides 1. , 2. and 5. , other stocks which I managed to exit at close to 52-week highs after holding for months up till a year include AirAsia (2.88), Cycle & Carriage Bintang (3.40), MTDACPI (38.5c), Lion Industries(52c), Ekowood(22.5c), Malayan Flour(1.643), DRB-Hicom ( 1.50 ) and Turiya (24.4c).
These really helped increase my 'comfort level' with my portfolio in the face of a bear market.
1. I liquidated my over 1 year long positions in WTK, KKB Engineering and BIG Industries at close to 52-week highs of $1.45, $1.83 and 68.7 c respectively on the early January spurt in shares of beneficiaries of US$ strength. They are now trading 27%, 26% and 32% LOWER than those sale prices as of November 11th and the intervening eleven months has seen the profitable redeployment of that capital into better assets(see 2. below).
2. After holding 20k worth of shares in Cepco for over 2 years, I finally got my chance to exit my investment profitably in late January as the shares soared on a hugely profitable quarterly report, and I exited at prices ranging from $1.96 to as high as $2.44, redeploying that capital (together with 1. above) into SGX stocks, many of which outperformed well, including S i2i, OKP and the big kahuna : Sunright! I even re-entered less than a third of my original position in Cepco when that company disappointed in the subsequent quarterly report, obtaining under $1.58 a share in May when my original cost was just under $1.80!
I also exited my last holdings in TAS Offshore in February at 68.5c, on the very day the stock was beginning to tank in earnest, after buying at a 57.5c average in 2015. They now hover at around 30c!
3. The spectacular fall of Globetronics Technology from an all-time high of $6.96 in the opening days of the year must have curdled the blood of many a trend-following fund manager holding boatloads of the stock after a 4-year rise from around $1.00, but I capitalised on the meltdown in early May to eventually make SIX rounds of profit on the stock even as it zig-zagged down to a $2.75 low in September and collecting a dividend in the process. My cost was an averaged $2.99 and I hold a tenth of my original position, which now sits on a 20+% paper gain.
4. I earned FIVE rounds on descending tobacco stock British American Tobacco(M), earning well over a thousand in capital gains and dividends, holding a maximum of 210 shares for all the dividends paid throughout the year, but releasing 200 of these at prices of $51.44 and $50.36 respectively, and only increasing my holding to 44 shares for the final dividend of the year, leaving room for me to average down my cost even as the shares now tumble to $45!
5. My 3-year holding in blue-chip sin stock Heineken(M), formerly Guinness Anchor, which saw a paper loss that peaked at over $4,000 at their low of $12 in January 2015, was liquidated by 7/8ths at prices ranging from 17.68 to 18.07, reaping a capital gain of 4.4%, even though the dividends were plentiful in the interim.
6. Besides 1. , 2. and 5. , other stocks which I managed to exit at close to 52-week highs after holding for months up till a year include AirAsia (2.88), Cycle & Carriage Bintang (3.40), MTDACPI (38.5c), Lion Industries(52c), Ekowood(22.5c), Malayan Flour(1.643), DRB-Hicom ( 1.50 ) and Turiya (24.4c).
These really helped increase my 'comfort level' with my portfolio in the face of a bear market.
Labels: 2016, performance, shares, stock investment, stockmarket
Friday, November 11, 2016
Putting Setbacks in Perspective...
In late August, I made a bad trade in wheat futures followed by another one in corn futures, incurring M$ 2,900 in losses, after offsetting two profitable trades in corn that reaped M$ 464 in profit.
I made the right decision to cool off after that, returning in September to reap a profit over 24 hours in KLCI futures earning M$ 160 and then regrouped again to make another five consecutive profitable trades in wheat, gold, gold, KLCI and KLCI contracts between October 26th and Nov 9th, the aftermath day of the US Presidential elections.
In the process, I whittled down the M$ 2,900 loss to just over M$ 1,000 and was overjoyed.
However the joy lasted for less than 48 hours as I returned to go long gold at 18c below my original profitable entry but was loose with my stop and got triggered with a loss of 24.5c a couple of hours after the market opened as the yellow metal unexpectedly plunged. In the process, I gave back all my M$1,035 profit earned two days prior and an additional M$ 200 plus to boot.
Thankfully, despite this, on the weekly scorecard I was a net M$ 400 up thanks to the two profitable KLCI trades.
Yet, despite the 8-3 win-loss scoreline in the futures market thus far, I'm still down a net M$ 2,100 or so.
As I post this account on a beautiful Saturday morning, I am a little blue but remind myself, even when the loss figure was M$ 2,500 just 3 days ago, that just over 2 grand is a cheap lesson as far as futures lessons go.
The big lesson from my biggest losses so far is : A tighter stop is required always, no matter how high the probability of success seems(as my mistaken prognosis of yesterday demonstrated). This is to allow for violent gyrations in these markets to play themselves out without wiping out one's account!
Now I'm following up on this with an intention to turn this setback to my advantage by tuning in more to the entirety of Life without being so parochially focused on money.For started, I have my wonderful SENSES in perfect working order, to enjoy the beauty of the bountiful and scenic planet I live on!
Life is a blessing because I have good health, healthy debt-free largely liquid assets and a cash balance of 22.8% of the recommended minimum retirement sum published in the papers today for people aged twelve years older than me, not to mention the total asset figure at 220% of that threshold currently! Despite this generally difficult year, my dividend income alone is a 2.5% return on that total asset figure, with the over M$ 18,000 in capital gains providing another 3.6% fillip to my returns.
So I never need to go hungry or depend on another's generosity for my survival!!
I may not have friends aplenty like some others but after experiencing my fair share of good, parasitic and generally bad friendships over 3 decades, I value my privacy and solitude more than the regular bloke.
My home has saved me easily over M$ 100,000 in rental and bills, reversing the 8 or 9 years of rental costs incurred in the years that I studied & worked in a foreign country.
Additionally, I have easy access to myriad varieties of food and healthy entertainment and can get by without a car. This means that my low maintenance lifestyle will be easily supported by interest, dividends and a nominal freelance income if I husband my assets carefully.
I live in a town where the hustle and bustle of a large city is largely absent and allowed me to log over thirty days so far in 2016 without spending a cent!
Summoning the intention to enjoy the NOW and appreciate the blessings already in hand allows me to will the blues to depart very quickly!
I made the right decision to cool off after that, returning in September to reap a profit over 24 hours in KLCI futures earning M$ 160 and then regrouped again to make another five consecutive profitable trades in wheat, gold, gold, KLCI and KLCI contracts between October 26th and Nov 9th, the aftermath day of the US Presidential elections.
In the process, I whittled down the M$ 2,900 loss to just over M$ 1,000 and was overjoyed.
However the joy lasted for less than 48 hours as I returned to go long gold at 18c below my original profitable entry but was loose with my stop and got triggered with a loss of 24.5c a couple of hours after the market opened as the yellow metal unexpectedly plunged. In the process, I gave back all my M$1,035 profit earned two days prior and an additional M$ 200 plus to boot.
Thankfully, despite this, on the weekly scorecard I was a net M$ 400 up thanks to the two profitable KLCI trades.
Yet, despite the 8-3 win-loss scoreline in the futures market thus far, I'm still down a net M$ 2,100 or so.
As I post this account on a beautiful Saturday morning, I am a little blue but remind myself, even when the loss figure was M$ 2,500 just 3 days ago, that just over 2 grand is a cheap lesson as far as futures lessons go.
The big lesson from my biggest losses so far is : A tighter stop is required always, no matter how high the probability of success seems(as my mistaken prognosis of yesterday demonstrated). This is to allow for violent gyrations in these markets to play themselves out without wiping out one's account!
Now I'm following up on this with an intention to turn this setback to my advantage by tuning in more to the entirety of Life without being so parochially focused on money.For started, I have my wonderful SENSES in perfect working order, to enjoy the beauty of the bountiful and scenic planet I live on!
Life is a blessing because I have good health, healthy debt-free largely liquid assets and a cash balance of 22.8% of the recommended minimum retirement sum published in the papers today for people aged twelve years older than me, not to mention the total asset figure at 220% of that threshold currently! Despite this generally difficult year, my dividend income alone is a 2.5% return on that total asset figure, with the over M$ 18,000 in capital gains providing another 3.6% fillip to my returns.
So I never need to go hungry or depend on another's generosity for my survival!!
I may not have friends aplenty like some others but after experiencing my fair share of good, parasitic and generally bad friendships over 3 decades, I value my privacy and solitude more than the regular bloke.
My home has saved me easily over M$ 100,000 in rental and bills, reversing the 8 or 9 years of rental costs incurred in the years that I studied & worked in a foreign country.
Additionally, I have easy access to myriad varieties of food and healthy entertainment and can get by without a car. This means that my low maintenance lifestyle will be easily supported by interest, dividends and a nominal freelance income if I husband my assets carefully.
I live in a town where the hustle and bustle of a large city is largely absent and allowed me to log over thirty days so far in 2016 without spending a cent!
Summoning the intention to enjoy the NOW and appreciate the blessings already in hand allows me to will the blues to depart very quickly!